The 2024-25 NBA season is upon us, and the Phoenix Suns are ready to make waves. With a mix of talent, new coaching strategies, and fresh acquisitions, the Suns aim to turn their fortunes around. Here’s an in-depth look at what to expect this season.
The Big Question: Was a Point Guard All They Needed?
Last season, the Suns struggled to find a true point guard, with undrafted combo guard Jordan Goodwin leading the way. He played in half the games, totaling just 78 assists. Surprisingly, even Jusuf Nurkić had more assists than Goodwin. This lack of playmaking contributed to the Suns’ dismal assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.82, the worst among serious contenders in the Western Conference.
Despite having a roster brimming with scoring talent, the Suns ranked low in offensive movement, trailing 27 teams in pace. The offseason brought hope as they managed to sign Tyus Jones and Monte Morris—both of whom are known for their low turnover rates and ability to set up teammates effectively. With new head coach Mike Budenholzer at the helm, who previously constructed top-five offenses in Atlanta and Milwaukee, the Suns now have the right foundation to improve their offensive game.
However, while the addition of Jones and Morris boosts offensive organization, it does not address the glaring defensive weaknesses that plagued the team last season. The Suns were swept in the first round of the playoffs, allowing a staggering 123.2 points per 100 possessions against the Minnesota Timberwolves. To compete, the trio of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal must elevate their defensive efforts.
Best-Case Scenario
In a best-case scenario, Tyus Jones flourishes as a starter, effectively orchestrating the scoring potential of Durant, Booker, and Beal to average around 75 points per game. With a full season of chemistry-building, the Suns could improve defensively, particularly if they utilize their depth more effectively. Grayson Allen moving to the bench, combined with contributions from Morris and newcomer Mason Plumlee, would bolster their second unit. In this scenario, the Suns transition from being first-round playoff fodder to a legitimate threat against the Western Conference elite.
Worst-Case Scenario
Conversely, if the Suns’ strategy to focus on offensive organization fails to address their defensive issues, they risk falling apart. If both Durant and Beal struggle with health, and Nurkić cannot anchor the defense, the Suns could find themselves fighting just to stay relevant in a competitive Western Conference. This could lead to a frustrating season, making their investments in talent seem less worthwhile.
Fantasy Outlook
Transitioning from Frank Vogel to Budenholzer could be beneficial for fantasy players. Budenholzer’s offensive system encourages more three-point attempts and efficient scoring opportunities near the basket. Although Budenholzer typically limits his starters to under 34 minutes per game, the injury history of the Suns’ core could allow for more rest, ultimately benefiting them in the long run.
Kevin Durant’s fantasy value may slip to a mid-second-round pick due to last season’s stats being inflated without Beal. Given Beal’s injury history—having played fewer than 60 games for three consecutive seasons—Durant could emerge as a bargain if his health holds up. Additionally, Nurkić’s role could rise as he assumes a stretch-five position similar to Brook Lopez, enhancing his fantasy appeal.
Bringing in Jones on a one-year deal solidifies the guard position, providing cheap assists and steals in fantasy drafts. Keep an eye on Grayson Allen, who, if his offseason strength training hasn’t affected his shooting, could become a valuable source of three-pointers coming off the bench.
The 2024-25 season holds significant promise for the Phoenix Suns as they look to solidify their status as a contender in the NBA. With the right adjustments and a focus on both offense and defense, they could make a deep playoff run.
