Kamala Harris Leads Donald Trump in 5 Key Battleground States, Tied in Georgia, New Poll Finds
WASHINGTON — Vice President Kamala Harris is leading or tied with former President Donald Trump in six out of seven critical battleground states, according to a new survey released Wednesday. The poll indicates a significant shift in the electoral landscape following Joe Biden’s exit from the race last month.
Key Findings of the Poll
The Cook Political Report survey, conducted by the Democratic polling firm BSG and Republican polling firm GS Strategy Group, reveals Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, and Arizona. The two are tied in Georgia, while Trump holds a narrow lead in Nevada. The margin of error for the poll ranges from +/- 4.7 to 4.9 percentage points depending on the state.
Harris’ Strength Among Key Voter Groups
The poll highlights that Harris has managed to consolidate the Democratic base, with 91% of voters who supported Biden in 2020 now backing her. This marks a significant improvement from May when only 82% of Biden supporters said they would vote for him again.
Harris also holds a commanding lead among independent voters across the seven battleground states, with 48% support compared to Trump’s 40%. Moreover, Harris leads the “double hater” voters—those who dislike both Biden and Trump—by a substantial 30 percentage points (54% to 24%), a group that Trump had previously led.
Implications for the 2024 Election
These results suggest that Harris could have multiple paths to securing the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. Harris’ campaign has focused on presenting her as a fresh alternative to both Biden and Trump, with 56% of battleground state voters seeing her as an opportunity to “turn the page of the Trump/Biden era” and 59% viewing her as a representative of a “new generation of leadership.”
State-by-State Breakdown
- Arizona: Harris leads Trump 46%-42%. Trump had a 5-point lead over Biden in May.
- Georgia: Harris and Trump are tied at 46%. Trump led Biden by 4 points in May.
- Michigan: Harris leads Trump 46%-44%. Trump led Biden by 3 points in May.
Conclusion
The poll indicates a shifting dynamic in the 2024 presidential race, with Kamala Harris emerging as a formidable contender in key battleground states. Her ability to consolidate Democratic support and gain traction among independents and “double hater” voters could be crucial in determining the outcome of the election.
